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The prevailing view here is that the stronger pesticides and fertilizers sector has seasonal factors, but more importantly, it is fueled by soaring global agricultural product prices. Recently, the prices of agricultural products such as grain, cotton, rubber, and sugar have risen, and the shadow of the world's food crisis has reappeared. According to the latest World Bank statistics, the global food price index in January increased by 29% year-on-year, and food prices have approached record highs in June 2008.
China has always attached great importance to the development of agriculture. During the extraordinary period of global prices of agricultural products, the basic position of “three rural issues†has become more prominent. In January of this year, the “No. 1 Document†issued by the Central Government for the first time targeted the acceleration of water conservancy construction reform to support the development of “agriculture, rural areas and farmersâ€. On February 22nd, Premier Wen Jiabao presided over the executive meeting of the State Council to study and deploy and accelerate the development of modern crop seed industry to promote the long-term stable development of agriculture and safeguard national food security. The policy of promoting universal “three rural issues†will surely drive the development of the pesticide and fertilizer industry.
In addition, the recent domestic abnormal weather also injected good expectations for pesticides and fertilizers. According to the National Crop Diseases and Pests Monitoring Network forecast, due to multiple factors such as the arid climate and the large winter base of diseases and insect pests, the area of ​​various types of diseases and insect pests this year is expected to exceed 6 billion mu, and the task and difficulty of prevention and control will exceed those of previous years. The National Climate Center has also been released. As of February 15, wheat spiders, aphids, and sheath blight have accumulated 47.8 million mu in Huanghuai, Jianghuai, and North China wheat regions. The hazard period is about 10 days ahead of schedule. Among them, wheat spiders occurred in an area of ​​17 million mu, which was 1.4 times more than that of the same period of last year. The area of ​​locust occurrence was 12.9 million mu, which was 2.4 times that of the same period of last year.
With the increase in the area of ​​pests and diseases, the demand for pesticides and pesticides will increase significantly, which will directly benefit the pesticide industry, especially listed companies engaged in pesticide pesticides. The spring plowing starts soon. The drought-proof seedlings of the northern winter wheat are in urgent need of weak seedlings. The superposition of two factors of stimulation has created a counter-trend in the fertilizer and pesticides sector.
The strength of pesticides and fertilizers in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets strengthened against the trend
On the 22nd, due to the influence of multiple negative factors, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock indexes fell sharply. In the slumping market of Shanghai and Shenzhen, the index of agriculture and forestry industry rose inversely, rising by 0.33%. The spring plowing started immediately and the pesticides and fertilizers plate in the plate strengthened due to the good expectations of agricultural development. Nuopuxin, Colt, Jiangshan, Hualu Hengsheng, and Sanonda reached outperforming the market. Huaxing Chemical was even close to the daily limit. .